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Our Research and Publications


The UN’s Diplomatic Paralysis as the Iran US Israel Conflict Escalates
The international system was built after the catastrophe of the Second World War with a singular ambition. Humanity hoped never again to witness global disorder fueled by unchecked power politics. The institution that embodied this hope was the United Nations, an organization designed to serve as the supreme diplomatic forum where disputes among nations could be resolved before they descended into destructive wars. Yet the escalating confrontation involving Iran, the United S
Chionye Hencs Odiaka


Lebanon Caught between Dreams, Delusion and Despair
Even by the standards of its turbulent history, including a decade and a half of continuous civil wars, the Lebanese state is in danger of total obliteration.
Little Lebanon has endured its fair share of wars and trauma in its recent history. First, came the Palestinians, mostly in the 1960s and 1970s, displaced by Israel followed by a militarized cohort, the PLO, that was ejected from Jordan after attempting to topple the government there. Hundreds of thousands of Palesti
Talal Nizameddin


Knowing left from right: The irrationality of Indonesia's security architecture
“It is not possible,” reads the English translation of the Fundamentals of Guerrilla Warfare, “to ensure the success of political, psychological, and socioeconomic measures by means of military actions alone, for success depends on the quality of the political leadership.” When he wrote this, General A. H. Nasution, father of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (TNI) as a political actor, was making a point about the need to synergize military success as a guerrilla combatan
Jeremy W. P. Sitorus


Why Australia and Indonesia Must Deepen Agricultural Cooperation
In a world of fractured supply chains and rising geopolitical tension, agricultural cooperation is quickly becoming one of the most urgent—and overlooked—pillars of Australia–Indonesia cooperation.
With a population exceeding 280 million and diets shifting toward protein-rich and processed foods, Australia’s scale, geographical location and agricultural expertise make it an obvious partner in safeguarding the region’s food future. Strengthening this partnership is no long
Geneveive Donnellon-May


Low Targets, High Tension: Reading the Direction of China's Policy for the Next 5 Years
Every March, Beijing transforms into the epicenter of Chinese political choreography. The Lianghui (两会) — China's annual dual legislative sessions comprising the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference — convenes the full apparatus of the Chinese Communist Party in a carefully orchestrated display of political alignment and policy direction. This year's sessions, running March 4–16, could not have arrived at a more consequential m
Felix Patrick


Divergent American Hegemonic Responses to Nuclear Ambitions: Why the United States Deters North Korea but Strikes Iran
The nuclear programs of North Korea and Iran pose two of the most persistent and consequential proliferation challenges facing the United States in the post–Cold War era. Yet while both countries have defied Washington’s preferences, the American response has been strikingly different.
Nader Rahimi


Assessing the Indonesia–U.S. Reciprocal Trade Agreement
Over the past week, public attention has intensified around the reciprocal trade agreement between Indonesia and the United States.
Noto Suoneto


Why Iran's Rivals Don't Want an “After Iran”
Arab and regional capitals are not trying to save Tehran. They are trying to prevent a vacuum that would leave them all weaker.
Mojtaba Touiserkani


It’s never been more important to strengthen ASEAN-Australia Ties
Australia and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) face a defining moment. Intensifying great-power competition, climate crises, and economic fragmentation are reshaping the Indo-Pacific, raising urgent questions about how the two sides can build a truly resilient partnership.
Geneveive Donnellon-May


Indonesia’s G20 Tightrope: Embracing 2026 US Chairmanship of the G20
Recent U.S. actions, such as intervention in Venezuela, measures targeting Iran, and withdrawal from dozens of multilateral institutions, have drawn global attention and led many countries to anticipate broader shifts in U.S. foreign policy, including how Washington may exercise leadership during its 2026 G20 Chairmanship. After the anti-climax closure of the South African Chairmanship of the G20 last November, multilateral economic diplomacy will see a new dawn in the chairm
Karlina Aucia Agusta and Lusia Novita Sari


Why Indonesia Needs a Global Economic Forum of Its Own
This article is inspired by two recurring reflections that continue to raise a fundamental question for me: why has Indonesia despite its size, influence, and potential long lacked a strong and consistent global narrative?
Noto Suoneto


Venezuela: America’s Ukraine
In the early morning of 3rd January, 2026, the United States launched a dramatic military operation in Venezuela and captured president Maduro along with his wife and flew to the United States to face criminal charges. In addition to announcing the strike, US President Donald Trump declared that the United States would temporarily govern Venezuela during the transition period.In the western hemisphere, this unparalleled sudden attack has caused tremors among the countries. Th
Rajarshi Chakraborty


From the Caribbean to the Amazon: China's crude-centered pivot away from Venezuelan to Brazilian Oil
In early January, the Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was captured in a special military operation in Caracas, and is expected to be tried for drug trafficking in New York. This represents the natural conclusion to a doctrine of maximum pressure against the Venezuelan Regime, which has been formally accused of fomenting drug trafficking operations across the Americas. The Maduro Regime has also been deemed as illegitimate by multiple sectors of the international community
Carlos Ricaurte-Orozco


Indonesia’s Arms Diversification is inevitable, but the Approach Must Prudent
Indonesia arms modernization has proven to be one of president’s primary priority programs. The president’s Asta Cita program has called for strengthening the national defense system and empowering the country’s autonomy as one concerted effort. Arms modernization program fall under Optimum Essential Forces (OEF), the continuation of previous long-term military modernization called Minimum Essential Programs (MEF).
Sandy J. Pratama


The Key Foreign Policy Players of Prabowo’s Presidency
Four years ago, in The Diplomat, one of the world’s most prominent international outlets for foreign policy observers, I wrote about how Prabowo Subianto, then serving as President Joko Widodo’s defense minister, helped shape Indonesia’s foreign policy. I argued that alongside figures such as Retno Marsudi and Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan, Prabowo played an increasingly influential role, particularly through defense diplomacy and the diversification of Indonesia’s security partner
Noto Suoneto


What did China gain from the recent G20 Summit in Johannesburg?
Chinese Premier Li Qiang addresses the third session of the 20th G20 Summit in Johannesburg, South Africa, Nov. 23, 2025. (Photo: Huang Jingwen/Xinhua) What's happening in Johannesburg? On 22nd November, G20 Leaders adopted a declaration in Johannesburg Summit 2025 against the backdrop of quite a turbulent geopolitical quagmire. The United States, being the next country to lead the presidency boycotted the meeting, with the Trump Administration citing “persecution of white
Upamanyu Basu


Broker, Not Architect: Malaysia’s Quiet Pragmatism Meets Its Limits in the Cambodia–Thailand Conflict.
Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet and Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul as they shake hands during the ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 2025. By the time ASEAN, along with its leaders, gathered in Kuala Lumpur in October 2025, things were decidedly optimistic. Just in their capacity as the chair of ASEAN, Malaysia had assisted in the Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord between Cambodia and Thailand after months of worsening bord
Gareth Liu Zi Yuan


China’s Oil Hunger Fuels Venezuela’s Crypto Shift
Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in Moscow on the sidelines of the celebration marking the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Soviet Union’s Great Patriotic War in May 2025. In Late November , President Trump has announced Venezuela contain a no-fly zone, further growing tensions between the U.S. and Maduro regime. Since September , the U.S has launched 21 strikes against suspected drug vessels, killing 83 people, also amassing m
Martin Brown and Carlos Ricaurte-Orozco


Why China’s Attitude Toward the Global Order Matters More Than Its Power
Waving mini Chinese flags, people crowd Tian'anmen Square in Beijing to watch the flag-raising ceremony on Oct 1, 2020. China’s reemergence as a global power dominates debates about the future of the international order. As China rises, power alone does not dictate how a rising state interacts with the global system.What matters more for the United States and its allies is China’s attitude toward the rules, norms, and institutions that structure international order. Whether B
Suloja Khadka


Australia’s Cultural Blind Spot is its Most Important Neighbor
Anthony Albanese poses with Bluey and Bingo from the hit ABC TV show Bluey. Indonesia’s 280 million people makes it one of the most populous countries in the world. With a median age of roughly 30, it is a nation driven by youth, digital fluency, and a rapid appetite for global cultural products. Korean pop music dominates its TikTok feeds and concert venues, Japanese anime and games shape entire subcultures, and its parents name their children after European soccer stars. Y
Michael Tomasoa and Weilie Winaldy Sugianlie
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